Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.6%). Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Chaput 51.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 56.5%
Defensive zone
Chaput 53.4%
Neutral zone
Chaput 52.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Backes
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Backes
Chaput
Last 8: Backes 4-4 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Chaput
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
3
Backes
Chaput
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Chaput
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
52.2% (1,168)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
42.9% (14)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.9% (70)
+4.5%
On power play, Backes has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Chaput is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Backes
Chaput
Home
50.6% (3,936)
53.5% (602)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
49.8% (650)
By Period
Backes
Chaput
P1
50.1%
48.6%
P2
51.5%
51.6%
P3
50.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |