Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.5%). Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Handzus 51.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 30-26 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 53.3%
Defensive zone
Handzus 52.1%
Neutral zone
Handzus 50.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Backes
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
26
(56 meetings)
30
26
Backes
Handzus
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
10
9
Backes
Handzus
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
6
13
Backes
Handzus
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
14
4
Backes
Handzus
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
51.5% (2,438)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
58.0% (286)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
47.3% (471)
+0.1%
On power play, Handzus has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Handzus is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,055).
Home / Away
Backes
Handzus
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Backes
Handzus
P1
50.1%
52.5%
P2
51.5%
53.7%
P3
50.8%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 4, 2013 | OT | 01:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |