Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Backlund 47.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 77.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 73.9%
Neutral zone
Backes 74.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Backes
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Backes
Backlund
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
1
Backes
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
47.2% (1,002)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
46.7% (150)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
50.0% (170)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Backlund is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Home / Away
Backes
Backlund
Home
53.3% (599)
48.3% (633)
Away
50.2% (602)
46.7% (689)
By Period
Backes
Backlund
P1
53.5%
49.2%
P2
50.3%
48.9%
P3
51.5%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | OT | 00:15 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | David Backes |