Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Granlund 48.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 70.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 92.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 91.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Backes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Backes
Granlund
Last 8: Backes 6-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
47.8% (866)
+6.7%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
49.4% (79)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
59.0% (39)
-7.5%
On power play, Backes has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Granlund is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Backes
Granlund
Home
55.3% (524)
52.5% (505)
Away
54.0% (606)
44.1% (479)
By Period
Backes
Granlund
P1
53.2%
48.2%
P2
54.2%
51.1%
P3
57.1%
45.0%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |