Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Fisher 49.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 61.5%
Defensive zone
Fisher 59.1%
Neutral zone
Fisher 59.8%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Backes
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
Backes
Fisher
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
1
Backes
Fisher
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
4
Backes
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
6
12
Backes
Fisher
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
47.7% (419)
+6.7%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
57.0% (93)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
42.9% (49)
-2.5%
On power play, Fisher has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Fisher is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Backes
Fisher
Home
50.8% (447)
51.4% (255)
Away
53.8% (465)
46.8% (308)
By Period
Backes
Fisher
P1
51.8%
46.7%
P2
53.2%
50.5%
P3
52.8%
49.4%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |