Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Ribeiro 44.0% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 91.7%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 66.3%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 77.5%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 83.8%
16.2%
83.8%
Backes
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backes
Ribeiro
Last 5: Backes 1-4 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
3
Backes
Ribeiro
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Backes
Ribeiro
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Ribeiro
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
43.1% (821)
+8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
48.1% (77)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
0.0% (5)
+55.5%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Ribeiro is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Backes
Ribeiro
Home
53.3% (599)
45.2% (504)
Away
50.2% (602)
40.9% (399)
By Period
Backes
Ribeiro
P1
53.5%
42.7%
P2
50.3%
45.3%
P3
51.5%
43.0%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |