Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Richards 49.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 61.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 62.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 62.5%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Backes
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Backes
Richards
Last 7: Backes 2-5 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
3
Backes
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Backes
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
50.0% (370)
+4.4%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
50.0% (30)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
39.0% (41)
+1.4%
On even strength, Backes has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Richards is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Backes
Richards
Home
50.8% (447)
52.3% (214)
Away
53.8% (465)
45.8% (227)
By Period
Backes
Richards
P1
51.8%
47.3%
P2
53.2%
53.2%
P3
52.8%
46.3%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Mike Richards |