Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Thompson 52.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 86.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 71.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Backes
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Backes
Thompson
Last 10: Backes 9-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
7
1
Backes
Thompson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
2
Backes
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
4
3
Backes
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
54.8% (135)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
47.9% (1,381)
-0.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Backes
Thompson
Home
50.6% (3,936)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Backes
Thompson
P1
50.1%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
52.9%
P3
50.8%
52.8%
OT
42.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2011 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2011 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |