Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Kadri 49.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 83.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 60.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 70.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Backes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Backes
Kadri
Last 9: Backes 2-7 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Backes
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Backes
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
4
Backes
Kadri
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
47.7% (1,087)
+4.4%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
56.9% (195)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
54.5% (22)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Kadri is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Backes
Kadri
Home
53.1% (573)
51.1% (664)
Away
51.1% (619)
47.2% (640)
By Period
Backes
Kadri
P1
51.8%
48.9%
P2
52.3%
48.1%
P3
52.6%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |