Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Backes wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 85.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 70.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 79.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Backes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Backes
Bergeron
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
1
Backes
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
57.0% (1,376)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
62.8% (323)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
51.3% (279)
-2.0%
On power play, Bergeron has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Backes is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Backes shoots right. Bergeron is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Backes
Bergeron
Home
53.1% (573)
59.1% (986)
Away
51.1% (619)
55.1% (992)
By Period
Backes
Bergeron
P1
51.8%
55.5%
P2
52.3%
58.0%
P3
52.6%
57.9%
OT
33.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | David Backes |