Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Kane 43.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 79.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 95.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 86.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Backes
Kane
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Backes
Kane
Last 9: Backes 8-1 Kane
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Kane
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Kane
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
4
0
Backes
Kane
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kane
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
41.1% (525)
+8.0%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
50.0% (36)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
80.0% (5)
-34.8%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kane shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Kane is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Backes
Kane
Home
48.1% (690)
43.4% (288)
Away
49.2% (663)
40.9% (281)
By Period
Backes
Kane
P1
49.0%
46.9%
P2
50.2%
38.6%
P3
47.5%
41.5%
OT
33.3%
26.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | David Backes |