Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Backes wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 44.9% vs Marleau 52.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Marleau leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 75.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 68.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 69.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Backes
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Backes
Marleau
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Backes
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
4
Backes
Marleau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Backes
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (819)
50.9% (350)
-5.6%
Power Play
42.1% (190)
64.8% (54)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
51.4% (142)
-10.9%
On power play, Marleau has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Backes shoots right. Marleau is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Backes
Marleau
Home
42.9% (581)
54.3% (289)
Away
46.1% (557)
50.4% (260)
By Period
Backes
Marleau
P1
40.1%
53.3%
P2
47.3%
53.3%
P3
45.1%
50.5%
OT
57.1%
58.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |