Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Marleau 48.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 58.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 59.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 56.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Backes
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Backes
Marleau
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Backes
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
2
Backes
Marleau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
4
3
Backes
Marleau
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
47.3% (91)
+7.1%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
50.0% (14)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
46.7% (45)
-6.3%
On even strength, Backes has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Marleau is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Backes
Marleau
Home
50.8% (447)
48.6% (74)
Away
53.8% (465)
46.1% (76)
By Period
Backes
Marleau
P1
51.8%
34.7%
P2
53.2%
48.9%
P3
52.8%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
77.8%
Final 5 min
56.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 9, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:38 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | David Backes |