Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Marleau 48.5% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 65.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 88.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 78.0%
Result
David Backes favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Backes
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Backes
Marleau
Last 8: Backes 5-3 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Backes
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
1
Backes
Marleau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
47.6% (288)
+6.9%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
52.9% (34)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
47.1% (34)
+4.4%
On even strength, Backes has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Marleau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Backes
Marleau
Home
55.3% (524)
52.8% (125)
Away
54.0% (606)
45.5% (231)
By Period
Backes
Marleau
P1
53.2%
49.6%
P2
54.2%
50.0%
P3
57.1%
46.5%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | David Backes |