Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Marleau 50.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 51.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 61.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 65.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Backes
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backes
Marleau
Last 6: Backes 4-2 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Marleau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
49.0% (437)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
70.6% (34)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
53.7% (54)
-4.4%
On power play, Marleau has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Marleau is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Backes
Marleau
Home
53.1% (573)
55.1% (234)
Away
51.1% (619)
47.4% (291)
By Period
Backes
Marleau
P1
51.8%
56.3%
P2
52.3%
48.5%
P3
52.6%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | David Backes |