Scouting Report
Patrick Sharp holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sharp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 44.9% vs Sharp 48.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 58.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 71.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 55.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Backes
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backes
Sharp
Last 5: Backes 2-3 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
3
Backes
Sharp
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Sharp
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Sharp
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (819)
48.4% (442)
-3.1%
Power Play
42.1% (190)
45.7% (35)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
43.3% (30)
-2.8%
On power play, Sharp has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Backes is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Backes shoots right. Sharp is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Backes
Sharp
Home
42.9% (581)
51.2% (242)
Away
46.1% (557)
45.1% (266)
By Period
Backes
Sharp
P1
40.1%
49.7%
P2
47.3%
46.5%
P3
45.1%
47.9%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | David Backes |