Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 86.2%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 69.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 54.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Backes
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Backes
Gaustad
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
2
Backes
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Backes
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
Backes
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
56.2% (603)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
71.4% (21)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
49.3% (148)
+0.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Backes
Gaustad
Home
53.1% (573)
55.5% (366)
Away
51.1% (619)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Backes
Gaustad
P1
51.8%
55.0%
P2
52.3%
56.9%
P3
52.6%
53.7%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2015 | OT | 02:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |