Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Holland 45.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 91.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 83.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 84.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Backes
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Backes
Holland
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
2
Backes
Holland
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Holland
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
45.6% (2,232)
+5.5%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
52.4% (126)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.3% (137)
+5.1%
On even strength, Backes has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Holland is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Backes
Holland
Home
50.6% (3,936)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Backes
Holland
P1
50.1%
46.1%
P2
51.5%
47.3%
P3
50.8%
43.9%
OT
42.9%
39.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | David Backes |