Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.2% vs Sheahan 53.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 73.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 83.7%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 64.5%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Backes
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backes
Sheahan
Last 7: Backes 4-3 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Sheahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
3
Backes
Sheahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (179)
56.4% (766)
-4.4%
Power Play
55.8% (52)
50.0% (28)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
47.7% (239)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Sheahan has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Backes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Backes shoots right. Sheahan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Backes
Sheahan
Home
53.8% (160)
57.3% (529)
Away
47.6% (82)
51.0% (504)
By Period
Backes
Sheahan
P1
53.8%
56.5%
P2
58.0%
55.8%
P3
41.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |