Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Backes wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 55.3% vs Sheahan 52.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 86.4%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 55.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 57.7%
Result
David Backes favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Backes
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backes
Sheahan
Last 6: Backes 4-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Sheahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Backes
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (228)
52.6% (544)
+3.1%
Power Play
65.2% (66)
60.0% (10)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
50.7% (134)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Sheahan has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Backes is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Backes shoots right. Sheahan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Backes
Sheahan
Home
55.9% (188)
51.9% (376)
Away
58.7% (121)
52.9% (312)
By Period
Backes
Sheahan
P1
53.0%
57.6%
P2
56.6%
48.5%
P3
60.8%
52.8%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |