Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 49.8%). Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 52 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 70-44 in 114 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 55.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 51.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 54.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Backes
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
70
(114 meetings)
44
70
Backes
Getzlaf
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
9
18
Backes
Getzlaf
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
18
17
Backes
Getzlaf
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
17
35
Backes
Getzlaf
52 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
49.6% (10,258)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
54.9% (1,381)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
44.8% (1,055)
+2.6%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Home / Away
Backes
Getzlaf
Home
50.6% (3,936)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Backes
Getzlaf
P1
50.1%
49.2%
P2
51.5%
50.4%
P3
50.8%
49.7%
OT
42.9%
49.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |