Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Backes wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Getzlaf 47.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 26-12 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 62.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 61.8%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 62.6%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Backes
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
26
(38 meetings)
12
26
Backes
Getzlaf
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
8
Backes
Getzlaf
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
4
5
Backes
Getzlaf
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
7
13
Backes
Getzlaf
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
46.8% (1,058)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
52.3% (153)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
42.3% (111)
+2.9%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Backes is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Backes shoots right. Getzlaf is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Backes
Getzlaf
Home
48.1% (690)
48.3% (694)
Away
49.2% (663)
46.1% (660)
By Period
Backes
Getzlaf
P1
49.0%
47.8%
P2
50.2%
46.6%
P3
47.5%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |