Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 35-23 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 65.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Backes
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
23
(58 meetings)
35
23
Backes
Johansen
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
7
6
Backes
Johansen
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
16
3
Backes
Johansen
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
12
14
Backes
Johansen
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
56.2% (2,163)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
50.5% (978)
-3.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Backes
Johansen
Home
50.6% (3,936)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Backes
Johansen
P1
50.1%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
53.9%
P3
50.8%
52.8%
OT
42.9%
58.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |