Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.4%). Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Johansen 51.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 54.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 64.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 55.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Backes
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Backes
Johansen
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
0
Backes
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
6
Backes
Johansen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
51.2% (447)
+3.2%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
53.4% (73)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
44.4% (9)
-4.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Johansen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Backes
Johansen
Home
50.8% (447)
54.9% (255)
Away
53.8% (465)
48.2% (274)
By Period
Backes
Johansen
P1
51.8%
51.7%
P2
53.2%
49.4%
P3
52.8%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2013 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | David Backes |