David Backes vs Ryan Kesler

2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Kesler holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backes 52.1% vs Kesler 55.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor Backes leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Kesler 63.0%
Defensive zone Kesler 61.2%
Neutral zone Kesler 60.9%
Result Ryan Kesler favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Backes Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 5 (13 meetings)
8
5
Backes Kesler
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Kesler

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
5
2
Backes Kesler
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Backes
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
57.6% (231)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
65.5% (29)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
51.2% (43)
-10.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +17.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Kesler is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Backes
Kesler
Home
50.8% (447)
58.8% (114)
Away
53.8% (465)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Backes
Kesler
P1
51.8%
60.8%
P2
53.2%
60.0%
P3
52.8%
52.5%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
58.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%
49.5%
52.3%
Kesler
50.0%
54.5%
57.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 16, 2013 OT 04:41 Offensive David Backes
Feb 17, 2013 3 19:43 Defensive David Backes
Feb 17, 2013 3 18:13 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Feb 17, 2013 3 08:00 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Feb 17, 2013 3 02:25 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Feb 17, 2013 3 00:09 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Feb 17, 2013 3 00:00 Neutral David Backes
Feb 17, 2013 2 08:51 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Feb 17, 2013 2 07:13 Neutral David Backes
Feb 17, 2013 2 04:49 Offensive David Backes
Feb 17, 2013 2 00:00 Neutral David Backes
Feb 17, 2013 1 18:28 Neutral David Backes
Feb 17, 2013 1 00:00 Neutral David Backes