Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Kesler 55.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 63.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 61.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 60.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Backes
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Backes
Kesler
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
5
2
Backes
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
57.6% (231)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
65.5% (29)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
51.2% (43)
-10.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Kesler is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Backes
Kesler
Home
50.8% (447)
58.8% (114)
Away
53.8% (465)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Backes
Kesler
P1
51.8%
60.8%
P2
53.2%
60.0%
P3
52.8%
52.5%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | OT | 04:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |