David Backes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 28-17 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 72.3%
Defensive zone
Backes 88.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 80.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
17
(45 meetings)
28
17
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
11
2
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
10
8
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
44.9% (8,756)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
50.7% (839)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
37.9% (879)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.6% (3,936)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.1%
45.1%
P2
51.5%
43.9%
P3
50.8%
45.3%
OT
42.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |