David Backes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 76.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 89.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 89.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
6
1
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
39.8% (508)
+14.6%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
60.5% (38)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
20.0% (5)
+20.4%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.8% (447)
42.6% (237)
Away
53.8% (465)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.8%
33.3%
P2
53.2%
45.1%
P3
52.8%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |