David Backes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 46.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 54.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 94.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 87.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
0
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
44.3% (1,117)
+10.2%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
52.4% (208)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
51.6% (31)
-0.1%
On even strength, Backes has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.3% (524)
47.6% (655)
Away
54.0% (606)
43.9% (701)
By Period
Backes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.2%
43.9%
P2
54.2%
46.8%
P3
57.1%
47.0%
OT
44.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
60.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | David Backes |