Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Gagner 46.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 30-24 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 50.3%
Defensive zone
Backes 79.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 68.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Backes
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
24
(54 meetings)
30
24
Backes
Gagner
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
7
8
Backes
Gagner
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
11
5
Backes
Gagner
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
12
11
Backes
Gagner
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
45.4% (4,699)
+5.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
51.5% (928)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
35.0% (226)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Backes
Gagner
Home
50.6% (3,936)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Backes
Gagner
P1
50.1%
44.6%
P2
51.5%
46.1%
P3
50.8%
47.3%
OT
42.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | David Backes |