Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Gagner 44.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 63.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 89.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 85.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Backes
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Backes
Gagner
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
4
2
Backes
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
42.1% (575)
+12.3%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
55.3% (123)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
34.9% (43)
+5.5%
On even strength, Backes has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Gagner is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Backes
Gagner
Home
50.8% (447)
45.6% (375)
Away
53.8% (465)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Backes
Gagner
P1
51.8%
40.1%
P2
53.2%
42.2%
P3
52.8%
48.2%
OT
33.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |