Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 34-33 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 51.4%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 52.7%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 52.6%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Backes
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
34
(67 meetings)
33
34
Backes
Horcoff
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
11
15
Backes
Horcoff
26 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Backes
Horcoff
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
13
10
Backes
Horcoff
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.6% (3,133)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
51.4% (555)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
43.0% (567)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Backes
Horcoff
Home
50.6% (3,936)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Backes
Horcoff
P1
50.1%
48.2%
P2
51.5%
49.5%
P3
50.8%
50.9%
OT
42.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | David Backes |