Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Horcoff 49.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 60.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 59.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 75.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Backes
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Backes
Horcoff
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
2
Backes
Horcoff
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
46.9% (318)
+7.5%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
64.9% (94)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
39.8% (88)
+0.6%
On power play, Horcoff has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Horcoff is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Backes
Horcoff
Home
50.8% (447)
46.7% (289)
Away
53.8% (465)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Backes
Horcoff
P1
51.8%
49.4%
P2
53.2%
47.0%
P3
52.8%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | David Backes |