Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Ott 55.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 32-15 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 76.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 84.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 71.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Backes
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
32
(47 meetings)
15
32
Backes
Ott
Last 10: Backes 1-9 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
7
12
Backes
Ott
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
4
15
Backes
Ott
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
4
5
Backes
Ott
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
57.2% (2,802)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
55.4% (567)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
49.9% (853)
-2.5%
On even strength, Ott has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Backes
Ott
Home
50.6% (3,936)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Backes
Ott
P1
50.1%
56.7%
P2
51.5%
53.9%
P3
50.8%
55.7%
OT
42.9%
60.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | David Backes |