Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Kero 46.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 62.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 57.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 55.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Backes
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backes
Kero
Last 5: Backes 3-2 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
1
Backes
Kero
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Kero
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Kero
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
47.0% (668)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
42.9% (7)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
31.9% (47)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Kero is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Backes
Kero
Home
50.6% (3,936)
49.1% (332)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Backes
Kero
P1
50.1%
47.6%
P2
51.5%
48.8%
P3
50.8%
40.9%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |