Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Kero 47.1% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 55.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 80.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 61.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Backes
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backes
Kero
Last 5: Backes 3-2 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
1
Backes
Kero
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Kero
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Kero
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
44.5% (119)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
50.0% (4)
-0.7%
On even strength, Backes has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Kero is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Backes
Kero
Home
53.1% (573)
43.8% (48)
Away
51.1% (619)
45.3% (75)
By Period
Backes
Kero
P1
51.8%
45.8%
P2
52.3%
48.8%
P3
52.6%
38.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |