Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Marchant 48.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 89.3%
Defensive zone
Backes 64.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 74.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Backes
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Backes
Marchant
Last 9: Backes 7-2 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
0
Backes
Marchant
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
0
1
Backes
Marchant
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Marchant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.5% (368)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
28.6% (7)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.4% (158)
+5.0%
On power play, Backes has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Marchant is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Backes
Marchant
Home
50.6% (3,936)
50.3% (302)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Backes
Marchant
P1
50.1%
46.3%
P2
51.5%
49.7%
P3
50.8%
48.1%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | David Backes |