Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Wandell 45.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 62.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 64.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 62.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Backes
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backes
Wandell
Last 7: Backes 4-3 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wandell
0
1
Backes
Wandell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Wandell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wandell
1
2
Backes
Wandell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
43.1% (297)
+6.0%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
35.7% (14)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
61.5% (13)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Wandell has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Wandell is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Backes
Wandell
Home
48.1% (690)
39.5% (152)
Away
49.2% (663)
47.1% (172)
By Period
Backes
Wandell
P1
49.0%
49.6%
P2
50.2%
35.3%
P3
47.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |