Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Plekanec 48.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 84.9%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 56.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 69.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Backes
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Backes
Plekanec
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
47.1% (1,214)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
60.2% (128)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
46.6% (371)
+8.9%
On power play, Plekanec has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Plekanec is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (704).
Home / Away
Backes
Plekanec
Home
53.3% (599)
49.4% (853)
Away
50.2% (602)
46.6% (860)
By Period
Backes
Plekanec
P1
53.5%
49.5%
P2
50.3%
46.7%
P3
51.5%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |