Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Plekanec 49.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 68.8%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 56.4%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 58.9%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Backes
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Backes
Plekanec
Last 7: Backes 2-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
3
Backes
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
49.8% (1,199)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
51.7% (240)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
47.2% (176)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Plekanec is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Backes
Plekanec
Home
53.1% (573)
48.9% (807)
Away
51.1% (619)
50.6% (808)
By Period
Backes
Plekanec
P1
51.8%
52.2%
P2
52.3%
49.4%
P3
52.6%
47.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | David Backes |