Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Zajac 54.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 62.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 64.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 62.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Backes
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
23
(40 meetings)
17
23
Backes
Zajac
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
5
Backes
Zajac
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
8
10
Backes
Zajac
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
8
Backes
Zajac
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
54.4% (9,056)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
59.1% (1,498)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
48.6% (1,599)
-1.2%
On power play, Zajac has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Backes
Zajac
Home
50.6% (3,936)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Backes
Zajac
P1
50.1%
53.8%
P2
51.5%
55.6%
P3
50.8%
53.6%
OT
42.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | David Backes |