Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Backes wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Zajac 54.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 59.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 64.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 59.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Backes
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backes
Zajac
Last 5: Backes 1-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Backes
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Backes
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
55.7% (1,020)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
52.7% (201)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
50.3% (173)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Backes is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Backes shoots right. Zajac is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Backes
Zajac
Home
53.3% (599)
54.9% (685)
Away
50.2% (602)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Backes
Zajac
P1
53.5%
54.6%
P2
50.3%
55.5%
P3
51.5%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |