Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Johnson 49.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 55.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 73.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 64.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Backes
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Backes
Johnson
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
1
Backes
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
2
Backes
Johnson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
6
5
Backes
Johnson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
49.8% (5,396)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
54.6% (885)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.3% (707)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Backes
Johnson
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Backes
Johnson
P1
50.1%
50.1%
P2
51.5%
50.6%
P3
50.8%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |