Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 41-30 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 80.4%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 57.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 53.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Backes
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
41
(71 meetings)
30
41
Backes
Fiddler
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
17
10
Backes
Fiddler
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
6
17
Backes
Fiddler
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
7
14
Backes
Fiddler
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
53.7% (4,899)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
50.0% (154)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.9% (1,479)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Backes
Fiddler
Home
50.6% (3,936)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Backes
Fiddler
P1
50.1%
52.1%
P2
51.5%
52.6%
P3
50.8%
52.0%
OT
42.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 16, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |