Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Fiddler 50.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 60.1%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 75.4%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 57.7%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Backes
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Backes
Fiddler
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
2
Backes
Fiddler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
51.3% (840)
-2.2%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
60.0% (15)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
47.8% (186)
-2.6%
On power play, Fiddler has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Fiddler is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Backes
Fiddler
Home
48.1% (690)
53.0% (530)
Away
49.2% (663)
48.7% (519)
By Period
Backes
Fiddler
P1
49.0%
53.3%
P2
50.2%
50.4%
P3
47.5%
48.2%
OT
33.3%
85.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | David Backes |