Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Fiddler 51.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Fiddler 64.3%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 66.9%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 66.0%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Backes
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Backes
Fiddler
Last 10: Backes 2-8 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
7
Backes
Fiddler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
3
Backes
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
3
Backes
Fiddler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
51.8% (819)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
37.9% (29)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
53.8% (249)
-2.3%
On power play, Backes has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Fiddler is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Backes
Fiddler
Home
55.3% (524)
51.1% (546)
Away
54.0% (606)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Backes
Fiddler
P1
53.2%
51.3%
P2
54.2%
53.7%
P3
57.1%
51.3%
OT
44.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
60.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 08:56 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | David Backes |