Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 62.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 71.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 51.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Backes
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
12
(26 meetings)
14
12
Backes
Rask
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
6
Backes
Rask
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
7
2
Backes
Rask
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
5
4
Backes
Rask
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.0% (4,428)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
54.3% (363)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
35.2% (54)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Backes
Rask
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Backes
Rask
P1
50.1%
50.7%
P2
51.5%
48.9%
P3
50.8%
50.7%
OT
42.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Victor Rask |