Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Leino 46.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 80.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 53.6%
Neutral zone
Leino 57.0%
Result
Ville Leino favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Backes
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backes
Leino
Last 5: Backes 2-3 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Leino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leino
0
2
Backes
Leino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Leino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
46.1% (596)
+5.0%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
42.1% (57)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
33.3% (6)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Leino is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Backes
Leino
Home
50.6% (3,936)
46.1% (334)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Backes
Leino
P1
50.1%
45.9%
P2
51.5%
44.8%
P3
50.8%
45.6%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Ville Leino |