Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hyman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hyman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 55.3% vs Hyman 48.4% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 64.3%
Defensive zone
Hyman 77.1%
Neutral zone
Hyman 54.6%
Result
Zach Hyman favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Backes
Hyman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backes
Hyman
Last 5: Backes 2-3 Hyman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Hyman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyman
0
3
Backes
Hyman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Hyman
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (228)
47.1% (87)
+8.6%
Power Play
65.2% (66)
37.5% (8)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
48.6% (142)
-8.6%
On power play, Backes has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hyman shoots right. Backes is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Backes shoots right. Hyman is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Backes
Hyman
Home
55.9% (188)
53.2% (111)
Away
58.7% (121)
42.9% (126)
By Period
Backes
Hyman
P1
53.0%
48.4%
P2
56.6%
41.8%
P3
60.8%
53.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Hyman
44.0%▲
42.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | David Backes |