David Backes vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 88.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 73.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 75.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Backes
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Backes
Girgensons
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
1
Backes
Girgensons
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
45.4% (2,700)
+5.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
49.1% (175)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.2% (481)
+5.2%
On even strength, Backes has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Girgensons is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Backes
Girgensons
Home
50.6% (3,936)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Backes
Girgensons
P1
50.1%
45.7%
P2
51.5%
44.1%
P3
50.8%
45.5%
OT
42.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |