David Backes vs Zemgus Girgensons
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Girgensons 44.5% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 89.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 86.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 88.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Backes
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Backes
Girgensons
Last 6: Backes 5-1 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Girgensons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
43.8% (762)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
45.9% (122)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
43.1% (116)
+8.4%
On power play, Backes has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Girgensons is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Backes
Girgensons
Home
55.3% (524)
44.5% (551)
Away
54.0% (606)
43.4% (449)
By Period
Backes
Girgensons
P1
53.2%
41.3%
P2
54.2%
43.0%
P3
57.1%
47.0%
OT
44.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
60.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | David Backes |